Dr. Ulrich Hamann

Where will the thunderstorm hit, how hard, and when?

That’s the question I work on at MeteoSwiss, Switzerland’s Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, in Locarno. In the Development of Forecasting department, I lead the development of COALITION, MeteoSwiss’ AI-based thunderstorm nowcasting system. It predicts the intensity, location and development of thunderstorms, and the hazards they bring, over the next hour.

Our project team has successfully turned research into operations. The current generation, COALITION-4, is a probabilistic deep learning model that fuses radar, lightning and topography data. Since 2025, its products have been available on the forecasters’ screens, and since 2026 its automatic warning suggestions have been part of the operational warning chain: forecasters refine them, and the combined, high-quality warnings power the MeteoSwiss App and reach the public, civil protection and other authorities. Across their generations, the COALITION models bring together satellite meteorology, thunderstorm nowcasting and AI.

What drives me

  • Nowcasting convection, thunderstorms, rain, hail and wind gusts
  • Deep learning for weather prediction and early warnings
  • Reading clouds, aerosols, trace gases and precipitation from space
  • Radiative transfer in the Earth’s atmosphere
  • Leading projects and teams

How I got here

My scientific career started in the Arctic and in the tropics. During my meteorology studies in Hannover, I spent a year at the University Centre in Svalbard at 78°N, taking measurements on sea ice and in the pack ice off Greenland. For my diploma thesis I developed a Monte Carlo radiative transfer model, and for my PhD at the German Aerospace Center (DLR) I calculated how radiation heats the tropical tropopause, the gateway through which air enters the stratosphere. Along the way I helped develop libRadtran, one of the most widely used open-source radiative transfer packages.

From 2010 to 2013, as a EUMETSAT fellow at the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), I turned to cloud remote sensing from satellites. I co-coordinated the Cloud Retrieval Evaluation Workshop (CREW), which compared the satellite cloud retrievals of 12 institutes in Europe and the USA, at the time the largest comparison of its kind, and led the evaluation of ten cloud top height algorithms. CREW has since become the International Clouds Working Group of CGMS. In December 2013, I brought this satellite expertise to MeteoSwiss in Locarno and turned it towards thunderstorm nowcasting.